Five years ago six of the 16 constituencies in Sussex changed hands in the 2010 general election, will something similar happen this year?
Crawley, Hastings and Rye, Brighton Kemptown and Peacehaven, and Hove, were all won by the Conservatives from Labour in the 2010 general election, Eastbourne was taken by the Lib Dems from the Tories, while Brighton Pavilion changed hands from Labour to the Greens.
As the Labour Party is predicted to lose most of its seats in Scotland to the SNP, if Ed Miliband wants to get into Number 10 with anything close to a majority his party will have to win back a large number of seats they lost to the Tories in England back in 2010.
Labour’s target list of 106 seats has Brighton Pavilion at number 19, Brighton Kemptown and Peacehaven at 25, Hove at 28, Hastings and Rye at 30, and Crawley at 92.
In Crawley Tory Henry Smith will be looking to hold the seat he won in 2010 at the third attempt from Labour’s Chris Oxlade. The seat was the most marginal in the UK in 2005 when Labour’s Laura Moffatt polled just 37 votes ahead of Mr Smith.
For Prime Minister David Cameron holding all of the Tory seats in Sussex will be vital if he wants to remain in Downing Street, while Eastbourne is one of the seats they will be looking to take from their coalition partners the Lib Dems.
Meanwhile UKIP will hope to capitalise on strong showings in the last two years, especially in West Sussex, where they became the second-largest party at West Sussex County Council after the 2013 local elections.
East Worthing and Shoreham was listed as one of 12 UKIP target seats last year, and the party will hope to eat into Tory incumbent Tim Loughton’s more than 10,000-vote majority. In other Conservative ‘safe’ seats UKIP will hope to come second and run the Tories as close as it can.
Whatever happens across Sussex, several constituencies are guaranteed to return new MPs with politicians standing down in Bexhill and Battle, Horsham, Wealden, and Hove.
Across Sussex constituencies the 2010 turnout was lowest in Hastings and Rye at 63.9 per cent, while the highest was in Lewes at 72.9 per cent.
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